AA 136 · LAX → LHR

took off 8:02 PM PT · expected to land 12:43 PM GMT (scheduled 7:34 PM PT → 1:26 PM GMT)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LHR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ LHR usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

LHR (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 136 · LAX → LHR

Odds over time

How late will it get to LHR?