AA 1401 · BOS → DFW

departs 6:28 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1401 · BOS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?