AA 1433 · LAX → ORD

departs 6:21 PM PT · arrives 12:29 AM CT

Your aircraft is N139AN (A321), coming in as AA 2125 from DFW: landed 6:33 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1433 · LAX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?