AA 1673 · PHL → MCO

departs 8:18 PM ET · arrives 10:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1673 · PHL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?