AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

took off 6:12 PM CT · expected to land 9:37 PM ET (scheduled 6:11 PM CT → 10:11 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1675 · MSY → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?