Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1780 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AA 1780 · ORD → PSP

departs 9:58 AM CT · arrives 12:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PSP is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1780 · ORD → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?