Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1888 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 1888 · DFW → RDU

departs 2:51 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,533 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1888 · DFW → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?