Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1915 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 1915 · RIC → DFW

departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,467 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1915 · RIC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?