tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2059 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2059 · DFW → MBJ

departs 12:24 PM CT · arrives 4:14 PM EST
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±4 pts −14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MBJ?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.