AA 2361 · SAN → DFW

departs 4:29 PM PT · arrives 9:36 PM CT

Your aircraft is N580UW (A321), coming in as AA 2361 from DFW: landed 4:35 PM PT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

98% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.08 in

DFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2361 · SAN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?