tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 250 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 250 · MEX → ORD

departs 1:12 PM CST · arrives 6:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
47% chance · ±2 pts +12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    52%
  2. 15–30 min late
    28%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.