Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2516SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2516 · TPA → DFW
departs 11:31 AM ET · arrives 1:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±5 pts−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.