AA 2543 · DFW → AUS

departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 8:55 PM CT

Your aircraft is N965AN (B738), coming in as AA 2501 from VPS: landed 6:04 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2543 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?