AA 2559 · LGA → BOS

departs 7:28 PM ET · arrives 8:38 PM ET

Your aircraft is N892NN (B738), coming in as AA 2968 from FLL: landed 8:04 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2559 · LGA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?