AA 2592 · AUS → DFW

departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:41 PM CT

Your aircraft is N818AW (A319), coming in as AA 616 from DFW: landed 8:07 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.29 in

DFW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2592 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?