tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2636 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2636 · SJD → ORD

departs 12:50 PM MST · arrives 7:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.