AA 2656 · DFW → ORD

departs 7:00 PM CT · arrives 9:28 PM CT

Your aircraft is N108NN (A321), coming in as AA 1134 from MIA: landed 5:11 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2656 · DFW → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?