AA 2682 · ORD → BOS

took off 9:00 PM CT · expected to land 11:51 PM ET (scheduled 8:29 PM CT → 12:05 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ BOS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,167 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

BOS (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2682 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?