Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2754 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 2754 · PIT → LAX

departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±5 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2754 · PIT → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?