AA 2837 · PHL → CMH

departs 8:09 PM ET · arrives 9:50 PM ET

Your aircraft is N712US (A319), coming in as AA 2405 from AUS: landed 5:11 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts −26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2837 · PHL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?