AA 2931 · DFW → LAX

departs 8:12 PM CT · arrives 9:35 PM PT

Your aircraft is N904AA (A321), coming in as AA 1555 from CLT: landed 6:46 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2931 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?