Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3166 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:45 PM ET, ETA 8:18 PM PT)
Today

AA 3166 · PHL → SFO

took off 5:45 PM ET · expected to land 8:18 PM PT (scheduled 4:37 PM ET → 7:46 PM PT)
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
99% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    1%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    78%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.