AA 3257 · TUS → PHX

departs 5:25 PM MT · arrives 6:35 PM MT

Your aircraft is N750UW (A319), coming in as AA 3257 from PHX: landed 4:43 PM MT.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUS that day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ TUS usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

PHX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3257 · TUS → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?