tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 496 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 496 · GUA → DFW

departs 12:21 PM CST · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    70%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.