AA 555 · DFW → ELP

departs 5:36 PM CT · arrives 6:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.09 in

ELP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 555 · DFW → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?