AA 641 · DFW → CMH

took off 7:51 PM CT · landed 10:48 PM ET (scheduled 5:32 PM CT → 9:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CMH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.06 in

CMH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 641 · DFW → CMH

Odds over time

How late did it get to CMH?