Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 677 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30 Tomorrow

AA 677 · GEG → ORD

departs 2:13 PM PT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 677 · GEG → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?