AA 714 · PHL → VCE

departs 7:43 PM ET · arrives 8:59 AM CET

Your aircraft is N879BH (B788), coming in as AA 715 from VCE: landed 3:43 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at VCE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to VCE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Arrivals into VCE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

VCE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 714 · PHL → VCE

Odds over time

How late will it get to VCE?