Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 7249 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AC 7249 · NLU → DFW

departs 8:09 PM CST · arrives 11:46 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NLU

↓ AC's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

NLU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 7249 · NLU → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?