Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1322 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AS 1322 · PDX → BUR

departs 6:58 AM PT · arrives 9:21 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Fridays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from PDX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

BUR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1322 · PDX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?