tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 40 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 40 · SFO → JFK

departs 10:17 PM PT · arrives 6:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.