Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 434SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 434 · SAN → RDU
departs 9:41 AM PT · arrives 6:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±2 pts+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.