Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 64 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AS 64 · PSG → WRG

departs 2:42 PM AKDT · arrives 3:07 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at WRG more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to WRG?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 2pm departures from PSG are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at WRG

Weather at each end

PSG (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

WRG (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 64 · PSG → WRG

Odds over time

How late will it get to WRG?