Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 66 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AS 66 · ANC → CDV

departs 1:17 PM AKT · arrives 2:11 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at CDV more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CDV?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 1.8 in of rain forecast at CDV that day

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ CDV usually runs smoothly

↓ 1pm departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.49 in

CDV (destination) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 66 · ANC → CDV

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDV?