AS 841 · PDX → HNL

took off 5:48 PM PT · expected to land 8:04 PM HT (scheduled 5:32 PM PT → 8:24 PM HT)

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at HNL that day

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.38 in

HNL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 841 · PDX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?