tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 895 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 895 · HNL → RAR

departs 4:29 PM HT · arrives 11:19 PM -10
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at RAR more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RAR?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.