Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1265
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1265 · BOS → RSW
departs 8:29 PM ET · arrives 12:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29 41%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 46%
Sun 11/1 52%
Mon 11/2 47%
Tue 11/3 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at RSW that day
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.