Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1475 · BDL → SJU
departs 7:34 PM ET · arrives 11:53 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 48%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.