Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
B6 1524 · LAX → JFK
departs 8:30 PM PT · arrives 5:01 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 19%
Wed 11/4 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.