Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 162
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Today
B6 162 · SMF → JFK
departs 11:40 PM PT · arrives 8:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/31 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.