Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1656 · MCO → SYR
departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 6:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SYR (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.