Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 1938 · SDQ → SJU
departs 5:29 PM AST · arrives 6:47 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Thu 10/29 51%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
SDQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SJU that day
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts —
Ceiling —
Visibility —
Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.