Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 193 · EWR → STI
departs 12:00 AM ET · arrives 3:52 AM AST
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at STI more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at STI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.