Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 233
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 233 · MCO → SJU
departs 4:03 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SJU that day
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.