Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 638
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 638 · AUS → BOS
departs 4:34 PM CT · arrives 9:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 49%
Mon 11/2 39%
Tue 11/3 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.03 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.