Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 678 · JAX → JFK
departs 6:57 PM ET · arrives 9:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 45%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 37%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at JAX that day
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.