Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 933
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
B6 933 · BOS → SFO
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 9:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/29 44%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 55%
Mon 11/2 45%
Tue 11/3 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 10,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.