C5 4283 · IAH → LFT

departs 8:11 PM CT · arrives 9:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LFT more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LFT?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LFT

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LFT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4283 · IAH → LFT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LFT?