C5 4841 · HSV → IAH

departs 8:37 AM CT · arrives 10:40 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4841 · HSV → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?