C5 4893 · IAH → CRP

departs 7:27 AM CT · arrives 8:40 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CRP (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4893 · IAH → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?